It is said that no wave or tide stays strong for a long time. Modi-wave, emerged in General election 2014, broke so many equations in Indian politics but now it seems that it lost the strength.
The commence of Gujarat’s stalwarts-
Narendra Modi and Amit Shah in Delhi created an unimaginable BJP’s juggernaut that took the national politics by storm. The duet performance- Modi’s impressive anti-Congress eloquence and Shah’s strategy took the BJP’s fortune at the level that the party became formidable. The due bundled ruling Congress to 144 Lok Sabha seats and BJP scored unexpected 282. The winning streak continued for a long period. Empowered by Modi-wave, flamboyant BJP emerged victorious in many states by snatching almost all big states from Congress. Scared from Modi-wave arch enemies- JD(U)’s Nitish Kumar and RJD’s Lalu Yadav became friends in Bihar; on the same line SP’s chief Akhilesh Yadav and BJP supremo Mayawati camped up together in UP. And recently, NC’a Omar Abdullah and PDP’s Mehbooba Mufti befriended in J&K.
Moreover, riding the unfailing fortune, the overconfident saffron party started a negative campaign like- Congress-Mukta Bharat.
The other side Congress president Sonia Gandhi passed the baton to her son Rahul Gandhi. Rahul Gandhi who was always underrated by his opponents and political pundits pulled through the fortune of the grand old party. The first breakthrough Rahul Gandhi earned at Modi’s home turf in Gujarat where the party gave a close fight to BJP. The party lost in assembly election but got the morale lifting praises. After Gujarat, Congress with the support of JD(S) succeeded to halt the BJPs juggernaut in Karnataka after retaining power.
Very recently, Congress gave the biggest shocker to BJP by uprooting the saffron party in three heartland states. Notably, all BJP’s 3 CMs who were lost to Rahul Gandhi-led Congress are considered mass leaders and stalwarts in their respective states.
Until BJP’s debacle in 3 states, everyone was assuming that the mega fight of General Election 2019 would be one-sided and Congress is feeble to take on mighty BJP. But the rise of Congress like a phoenix made the next battle interesting.
BJP’s loss has injected life in the hope of Opposition parties. The other side, BJP’s stumble alarmed the Centre government. U-turn on GST by slashing taxes and unprofitable seat sharing in Bihar shows that BJP accepted the ground reality that popular slogans- ‘Sabka Sath Sabka Vikas’, ‘Beti Bachao Beti Padhao’, fancy schemes- Make In India, Stand-Up, Digital India, Namami Gange and many other cannot translate into votes every time.
The more worrisome for BJP is reducing of its alliance-NDA. Recently, Andhra Pradesh’ stalwart TDP chief Chandrababu Naidu ditched BJP and its long ally Shiv Sena openly criticizes Modi Government.
BJP’s trump-card and vote drawer Communal agenda were denied by voters in Mizoram, Telangana, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh. The way BJP’s communal poster boy Yogi Adityanath who fanned Hanumanji’s name in the rally was denied is a clear expression that the saffron party has a return on development agenda.
Meanwhile, the next few months will be very crucial as all the parties will leave no stone unturned to woo voter in their favour. The sudden emergence of Rahul Gandhi and style of politics to corner Modi on GST, demonetisation, farmers issue and unemployment made the next election very interesting.
However, Indian politics is very uncertain and the next few months the cat can jump any side. If the government brings an ordinance to build Ram temple and succeeds to give farmer loan waiver at last moment, voters mood might swing to BJP.